Saturday, January 01, 2005

A view of the world

There are many views of the world. View from the deterministic, the relative, etc.. One of them is the probability view. This world may be viewed from the deterministic point, but it is impossible to get the whole factors or principles that describe the cause and effect of this world. From the deterministic view, all we can do and shall do is to find the more "exact" or "real" principles that describe the world better. On doing this, we can still interpret this wolrd from another point of view - probability. We can describes the world better if we get more scenarios that affect events to happen. We can estimate the a priori probability if we find the cause and effect more detailed. The steps are, first, find the scenarios as more and complete to affect the events as we can. Second, estimate the probility. And third, base on the expected value to achieve the maxmimum utility. For example, we can do something better if we understand the concept of conditional probility. Some events happen more frequently under some conditions. If we take control of such conditions, we take more control of the events. Furthermore, if we understand and take control of the conditions of the preceding conditions, or we take control of the other conditions of the events, we take furthermore control of the events. Between the conditions and events, there are always something unknown, waiting to be discovered from the deterministic point of view.

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